
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize: The Campaign Begins


With clear eyes, hard facts, critical thinking, new political strategy, empathy, and a soupçon of Schadenfreude
Posts about the situation we are in–the good facts, the bad facts, and the terrible facts. Facts that, if taken on board, will let us “know ourselves, know the other side” and go on to win those hundred battles.

Michelle Goldberg (N.Y. Times), Trump Posted a Video of Himself Dumping Excrement on Our Cities. It’s a Glimpse of His Deepest Drives.
Ms. Goldberg writes,
This weekend, I was surprised to learn that Donald Trump seems to see himself in the same way I do: as a would-be monarch spraying the citizenry with excrement.
On Saturday, perhaps stung by the enormous nationwide “No Kings” protests, Trump posted an A.I.-generated video on Truth Social that inadvertently captured his approach to governing. In it the president, wearing a crown, flies a “Top Gun”-style fighter plane labeled “King Trump” above American cities crowded with demonstrators, dumping gargantuan loads of feces on them. Amplifying it on social media, the White House communications director Steven Cheung gleefully wrote that the president was defecating “all over these No Kings losers!”
It is not at this point surprising that Trump holds half the country in contempt, or that he treats urban America as a group of restive colonies to be brutally subdued. This is a man who told the military it should use our cities as “training grounds” for foreign operations, and who has sent both troops and federal agents to terrorize Los Angeles and other cities. The president’s attempts to demote the residents of blue America from citizens to subjects have become so routine they barely make headlines anymore.
What’s curious, then, is not Trump’s eagerness to degrade us, but his uncontrollable urge to defile himself and his office. Most national leaders, after all, do not willingly associate themselves with diarrhea. Scatological attacks are usually the province of outsiders trying to cut the powerful down to size. (French farmers, for example, have vented their fury at ruling authorities by dumping piles of manure in front of government buildings.) Rulers, by contrast, tend to jealously guard their dignity. But not Trump.
A perverse delight in defilement has always coursed through MAGA circles. Describing the profoundly cynical, curdled atmosphere in which 20th-century totalitarian movements took root, Hannah Arendt wrote, “It seemed revolutionary to admit cruelty, disregard of human values and general amorality, because this at least destroyed the duplicity upon which the existing society seemed to rest.” A similar giddy nihilism has long surrounded the president and his devotees, who often treat his unlikely ascension as a world-historical feat of trolling.
There’s a tension, however, when people in power adopt this oppositional stance. On the surface, Trump longs for grandeur. But on some subconscious level he and those around him have a deep instinct for degradation. The administration purports to venerate traditional aesthetics; an August executive order on federal architecture disavowed modernism and called for classical designs that convey “the dignity, enterprise, vigor and stability of America’s system of self-government.” At the same time, Trump paved over the lawn of the White House Rose Garden to make it look like the patio at Mar-a-Lago. On Monday, The Washington Post reported that his construction crews have begun demolishing the facade of the White House’s East Wing to build a ballroom.
The dominant aesthetic of the administration comes not from antiquity but from A.I. slop, the tackier and more juvenile the better. (Think of the White House’s image of a crying migrant rendered in the style of a Japanese Studio Ghibli animation.)

Last week, when HuffPost asked the White House who chose Hungary as the site of an upcoming meeting between Trump and President Vladimir Putin of Russia, the White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, responded, “Your mom did.” She was obviously trying to insult and delegitimize a representative of the liberal media. But the result was to reveal herself as a gross parody of a professional press secretary. The administration plans to mark America’s 250th anniversary with a UFC cage fight on the White House’s south lawn, an idea that seems ripped from the scabrous 2006 satire “Idiocracy.”
The Trump gang’s compulsion to debase and cheapen almost everything they touch is far more than a matter of style. Perhaps the most puzzling thing about the second Trump administration has been its attacks on pillars of American strength that pose no challenge to its ideology. It was predictable that the White House would gut support for the humanities, but not that it would defund pediatric cancer research. I expected it to try to eliminate the Department of Education, but not to deliberately wreck the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which helps communities in both red and blue states when they’re beset by disasters.
Some of this slashing and burning can be explained by the old-fashioned small-government fanaticism of administration personnel like Russell Vought, director of the White House Office of Management and Budget. But it also seems like a function of Trump’s abusive insecurity. Part of him wants to aggrandize the country to reflect his own inflated self-conception. And part of him seems to want to trash it out of rage at the limits of his dominance.
In “The Emergency,” an allegorical novel coming out next month, the writer George Packer captures some of the lust for desecration animating the Trumpist right. The book hinges on a conflict between self-righteous Burghers, who live in cities, and resentful, paranoid rural people known as Yeomen. In a narrative turn that appears, in light of Trump’s video, quite prescient, the Yeomen make plans to bombard the Burghers’ city with fecal cannons. It’s as if Packer managed, for a moment, to tune into the president’s wavelength.
“There was something so audacious about it, so inventive and barbaric, so low,” he writes, adding, “It would break through the final restraint, and there would be no going back.”
Fights over resources and beliefs can be settled. It’s much harder to imagine rapprochement with those who want, above all, to befoul us.

OK, just how popular is Mango Mussolini as of today? That would be good information to have, as we prepare to protest.
I perceive a significant—and surprising—information disconnect. Some, like the Politics Monday team on PBS Newshour, say his popularity remains stable. Others, like Heather Cox Richardson, and many others, say it’s tanking.
I can’t tell you who’s right and who’s wrong. But my guess would be that The Economist—which always features a column called “Tracking Donald Trump: The American president’s net approval rating”—is probably the most reliable source. Or, maybe, say the least unreliable source.
Today’s summary:

And a plot of the last 270 days:

Net approval, over time, on five broad issues:

Current net approval, by state, all respondents:

And last, but far from least, current net approval, by state, among those who actually voted in 2024:

I found the difference between the “all respondents” and “those who actually voted in 2024” to be striking.
Also, on the latter chart, take a gander at the current approval rating in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Not to mention Texas!
And take heart.
On the eve of No Kings Day, know that Trump is trying to create an authoritarian state while making Biden’s fundamental mistake: hallucinating/propgandizing excellent economic conditions while the hallucinations are utterly inconsistent with the lived experience of his supporters.
And, as the talking head explains in depth, it’s rapidly going from bad to worse.
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For your information: “UNFTR” is short for Unfucking the Republic. The organization is known for interpretative commentary based on actual facts.

At minute 23, he expounds on how we will be called to resist when the shit hits the fan. At minute 32, he talks about the temptation to engage in physical violence. At minute 35, he counsels against the temptation to wallow in fear and despair.

He’s evil, and always has been. He suffers from malignant narcissism. Rampant dementia is the new icing on this dreadful cake.
If we want to look at the situation with eyes wide open, we must understand that we are now governed by a madman.
Stop looking for the method in the madness. There is no method. Only madness.
Take the Comey indictment—one of very many examples. Most people understand that there are good legal arguments, there are so-so legal arguments, there are bad legal arguments, and there are legal arguments so lacking in merit that your lawyer will be lucky to escape disbarment if she makes them on your behalf.
For most people, the difficulty lies in applying this abstract understanding to a particular legal dispute. Is my lawyer’s position sound? Or is it only so-so? Are my chances of winning high, or are they only mediocre?
In Trump’s case, however, I believe his mental deterioration is such that he does not understand that some legal arguments are better than others. I believe he cannot ask himself the right questions because he has no notion of what the right questions are. To him, a good criminal case against Donald Trump is the exact same thing as an entirely bogus criminal case against someone else. To him, it’s only fair to respond with an eye for an eye.
Thanks to old friend Vasari for sending this along.