What the Bloody Hell is He Thinking? Just What the Hell?

Does He Think His Insults Give Him Magical Power to Overcome All Obstacles?

If so, that’s strong evidence of psychosis.

Does He Want Canadians to be Even More United in Reviling His Name?

And if that’s what he does think, then why in the name of Buddha would he want to drive any remaining unpatriotic Canadians into the arms of Prime Minister Carney?

Does he think that uniting Canadians in opposition to his economic aggression would help him to achieve the submission that he so clearly yearns to achieve?

Does He Regret That Not Enough People View Him as an Impotent Nincompoop?

And does he want to leave no doubt in the mind of even the least observant that he is in fact a powerless nitwit?

In today’s New York Times, Frank Bruni and Bret Stephens have a conversation on The Pompous Proof of an America in Decline. It’s worth a read:

Frank Bruni: Canada, a previously close ally of ours with less than one-eighth of our population and less than one-tenth of our gross domestic product, just made clear that it won’t be bullied by us and has contempt for what we’ve become. Iran makes a daily mockery of our unhinged overlord’s immature predictions of a lickety-split war and premature declarations of an easy-peasy victory. Could President Trump, so obsessed with his potency, be making the United States look any weaker, Bret? Is he the pompous proof that the era of American dominance is done?

Bret Stephens: Wasn’t it Teddy Roosevelt who said, “Speak softly and carry a big stick”? Trump’s presidency, if not his whole life, amounts to an inversion of the phrase.

Frank: As you made wisely and scarily clear in your most recent column, his speaking loudly while carrying a puny strand of spaghetti is more than a national embarrassment. It’s an opening — for Russia, for China, for a world order in which our say and sway are gravely diminished. Is this a phase? Or is it something more profound?

Bret: Trump is putting America in a position that Niccolò Machiavelli warned all princes against: We are hated, but not feared. That’s not just among enemies like Iran or China, whose rulers carefully watch the U.S. for signs of indecision and weakness. It’s also among our closest friends and allies, Canada chief among them. That said, I really do think that this is a phase related to Trump’s unique awfulness, which expires politically on Jan. 20, 2029. I hope Canadians and other allies bear with America through this period of temporary insanity before we regain our bearings, moral as well as political. Or am I too sanguine?

Frank: I desperately want to agree with you, because I love this country and have so often been proud of it and think we’ve done such enormous good and want us to do yet more of it. But in my gut? You’re too sanguine. Trump strikes me not as an aberration who had the luck of flawed opponents, a feckless Democratic Party and a system in which the Electoral College rather than the popular vote decides presidential elections, which is, of course, how he won in 2016. He’s an expression of America’s id and a reflection of its uncorking. He rose as — and because — so many Americans stopped appreciating our blessings and started wallowing in our resentments. He’s the sign that we summited and have begun the descent. That’s my worry, at least, but I’ve always been someone who girds for the absolute worst so that I can be pleasantly surprised when the merely disappointing happens.

Bret: There’s no doubt Trump has taken advantage of something ugly in the American soul: A few years ago, I compared his relationship to the Republican base to that of a burlesque performer who, with one discarded piece of clothing after another, brings out the inner lewdness of an audience. But I also think, or rather know, that Americans disapprove of his presidency by a wide and growing margin; that Democrats are likely to win back one or probably both houses of Congress in November; that most of us treasure the idea of America as a city on a hill, a destination and an ideal.

That’s not gone.

Frank: But if America’s insistently aggrieved citizens can’t agree on who gets to enter and try to prosper in that hilltop city? If different camps have irreconcilably different versions of the America they treasure? That’s what feeds my dread.

Bret: I keep returning to a line in Bill Clinton’s first Inaugural Address: “There is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right with America.” I believe in my bones that it’s true. Historically speaking, we’ve been worse (the Jim Crow South), done worse (Japanese internment, the evils committed against Native Americans), messed up worse (the Smoot-Hawley tariff and Neutrality Acts of the 1930s) and even elected worse (James Buchanan, though Trump may be giving our worst president a run for the money).

We’ve even made the exact same mistakes. My son and I are reading Rick Atkinson’s magnificent account of the early years of the American Revolution, “The British Are Coming,” with its description of our failed attempt to conquer Canada in 1775. My guess is that this third attempt of ours (the second came in 1812) to conquer our hardy northern friends will end much the same way.

Frank: While the individual components of the argument you just made are apt and accurate, I have a problem with the whole we’ve-survived-darker-days line of defense that has been trotted out incessantly over the Trump years. It’s too seductive, too convenient, too obvious.

Bret: Obviousness is not necessarily a defect. Sorry, go on.

Frank: We’ve-seen-worse surely says as much about our desire for reassurance as it does about the actual state of play. Also, our present world is different in ways that weaken historical analogies. I mentioned our fractiousness a bit ago; the internet intensifies that, amplifies it, creates warring truths and pollutes the information ecosystem — as little, if anything, before it did.

Bret: I just had the wonderful experience of spending some time in Abilene, Kan., three miles from the middle of nowhere off I-70, at the Eisenhower presidential library, museum and childhood home. On one hand, it brought home the stark contrast between Eisenhower’s kind of Republican presidency and Trump’s. On the other, I was reminded that at the time, a lot of Americans saw the country and its culture in dire straits — and also dismissed the president as an idiot.

Frank: That last reminder is an excellent one. I remember when everyone around me was freaking out about the singular horror of Ronald Reagan. Then about the singular horror of George W. Bush. Now the same people wish fervently that Trump were more like either of those predecessors of his.

That said, I don’t think, 20 years from now, many people beyond the cronies whose net worth Trump quintupled will be nostalgic for him or this wretched chapter of American life.

Bret: I’m sure you’re right. Reagan had unsuspected tenderness. Bush had obvious decency. Trump’s inner life is a mangy hollow. …

Mail-in Ballots Update

Stephen Vladeck, professor of constitutional law at Georgetown Law Center, lucidly explains what we know, and what we don’t (yet) know, about the courts’ treatment of Trump’s mail-in ballots power grab. Permit me to make a couple of points to put this in context. 

I don’t have a hidden agenda. I’m not trying to persuade you that the Republican justices are a bunch of jerks, nor am I trying to persuade you that some of the Republican justices are good guys who will stand up to Trump.

I’m just trying to present an understandable analysis of the current state of play, offered by the person who is probably the one individual most qualified to lay out that analysis. 

In my day, I am very sorry to say that I was a great expert on standing and injury issues in antitrust litigation. In the early 200s, I read and mastered and published a law review article about the vast body of case law on that topic. And here was my conclusion: all too often, a decision on standing is a rabbit that the judge will pull out of his hat if the plaintiff should win the case on the merits, but if, for ideological reasons, the judge really wants to defendant to win the case—so that, “without reaching the merits,” he rules that the plaintiff lacks standing to sue. 

As the good Professor Vladeck implies, we’ll just have to wait a little longer to see how that plays out here. 

And while we are waiting and seeing, there’s another twist to ponder. If the Republican justices want to issue a ruling that favors Republican political victories, then they will rule that mail-in ballots are hunky-dory and that Trump should stay the hell away from telling everyone which voting procedures are kosher and which are not. 

Trump is barking mad, suffering from a deep seated delusion that mail-in voting hurts his side. Indulging that delusion will in no way, shape, or form help Republicans win elections. I suspect that even Justices Thomas and Alito, whose grip on reality is somewhat shaky, know that Trump’s obsession with mail-in voting is Loony Tunes. 

Disney and ABC: As the Worm Turns, Bigly

In December, 2024, Trump brought a bogus defamation case in Florida federal court, Trump v. American Broadcasting Companies. Rather than fighting and winning the case, as most had expected, Disney decided to pay Trump off, to the tune of $16 million. It was not Disney’s finest hour.

I am happy to report that the worm has turned. 

Yesterday, faced with threats by the Federal Communications Commission to yank licenses from ABC stations—to appease Trump’s anger at Jimmy Kimmel—the Disney company brought a new case, called American Broadcasting Companies v FCC, in federal court in the District of Columbia.

Always ask who the lawyers are.

In this case, lead counsel is a woman named Beth Wilkinson, a boutique litigation star who doesn’t eat Cheerios for breakfast. Instead, she eats nails. Specializing in bet-your-company litigation, Ms. Wilkinson has been lead trial counsel in 60 cases. 

Disney and its attorney are planning to take no prisoners.

Good for them. It’s none too soon. 

Mango Mussolini’s Morass

I highly recommend this video from last night’s PBS Newshour for a lucid, hardheaded explanation of the current status of the Iran War. 

Here are a few additional thoughts.

Iran’s Rulers are Behaving Like Rational Bad People

Yes, Iran is hurting economically and militarily. Yes, Trump is so desperate for an “off ramp” that he would willingly give the Iranian rulers a very sweet deal if only they would give him some means of saving face.

But here’s the deal—from the rational bad person’s point of view: if they buy off Trump, there’s a strong likelihood that he won’t stay bought. Trump is a psychotic, delusional man-child who thinks the U.S. Navy, Army, Air Force, and Marine Corps are his toy soldiers. He is entirely capable of making a deal with you this week and trying to kill you next week.

From the rational bad people’s standpoint, the only possible way to be sure of getting peace is put Trump in a place where he is thoroughly humiliated—a place where he is forced to admit defeat.

Mango Mussolini’s Three Choices

1. He could send in the ground troops. (Or maybe try dropping a few nuclear bombs.)

2. He could let the stalemate continue more or less indefinitely.

3. He coule accept Iran’s terms and surrender.

That’s all there is and there ain’t no more. 

Which Will He Choose?

Pretty much no one thinks he’s going to go for the ground troop option. Nor is the nuclear option attractive.

A lot of people reckon that the stalemate scenario is the most most likely, and of course they might be right. But I don’t agree. 

Why? Broadly speaking, two reasons. 

First, continued stalemate is going to make his political problems even worse. It’s going to risk nationwide and worldwide recession. And it’s going to invoke one of his very biggest fears—being remembered as a second Herbert Hoover.

Secondly, one of Mango Mussolini’s core beliefs is that he is the world’s greatest con men—that he can serve up a shit sandwich and make you believe that it is Panera’s latest premium masterpiece.

Put those two thoughts together, and I think he will conclude that surrender on Iran’s terms is the least bad of three very terrible options.