I normally watch the beginning of the Morning Joe show. The quality of the analysis various considerably, in my opinion. This morning’s analysis of the Iran War state of play was, I think, particularly complete and insightful. Among the insights, in my words:
- The big CIA leak reported this morning demonstrates how many cards Iran holds and how few Trump holds
- Another big leak, reported by The Economist, shows how Russia would be prepared to help Iran if Trump sends in ground troops
- As to the alleged “ceasefire,” Trump continues to spout delusional nonsense
- Trump is desperate
- All of Trump’s options are really bad, but his least bad option is essentially to replicate the nuclear deal that Obama made, declare victory, and go on to some other shit show
- As and when Trump finally takes his least bad option, he will leave Iran much stronger than it was before the war
- Trump started the Iran war to make him look stronger before his summit with Xi Jinping (currently scheduled for next week); now he looks much weaker than before, and Chinese officials are mocking him
